Why Tech Companies Miss the Boat on Market Sizing

The Beginning of Innovation

When I was a kid in the 1980s, I was obsessed with electronics and early computer programming. As an only child, I spent much time diving into my projects—tearing apart old TVs, CB radios, and VCRs and spending thousands of hours building circuit boards, remote-controlled cars, model rockets, homemade fireworks, and even cable descramblers. I once took apart my mom’s dishwasher, and I learned quickly that wasn’t the best idea—playing with AC electricity. Yeah, I picked up a few painful lessons there, too.

I started hacking CB radios, stumbled onto the world of 2600 early on, and by the time the internet hit in the late ’90s, I was primed and ready to dive in headfirst. School? I was an okay student at best—probably had undiagnosed ADD. I had a face full of zits and was always anxious, my brain moving at warp speed and constantly sweating from my armpits. But I was addicted to creating, testing, and figuring out how things worked from the inside out.

Why am I sharing this? Because technology and innovation are hardwired into me. I don’t just do this for a living—it’s my DNA. When I look in the mirror, I see an engineer first, a salesman second, and a marketer third. What I create means more than work—it’s a higher calling. But is that enough to grow a business?

After years of building and launching digital products and watching some thrive, others fade, and some transform into entirely new things, I’ve learned something crucial. Technology alone isn’t enough. Are your creations scalable? Are there enough customers for what you’re offering? These are the fundamental questions that separate the innovators from the successful and profitable business builders over time.

Let’s discuss market research and why it’s a critical piece of the puzzle when launching a new product or service. Market sizing helps you determine the size of your potential audience, how much of that audience can afford your solution, and, ultimately, whether your idea is scalable. So buckle up for a great read, my friend. Here we go.

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What is Market Sizing?

Market sizing estimates the total number of potential buyers for your product or service. It goes beyond just identifying companies or individuals who fit your ideal customer profile (ICP); it’s about quantifying how big that market is and how much revenue it can generate for your business. This is where terms like Total Addressable Market (TAM) and Serviceable Available Market (SAM) come into play.

Why is Market Sizing Important?

Without market sizing, you’re flying blind. You might have a killer product, but if the audience you’re targeting isn’t large enough or doesn’t have the financial capability to afford your solution, you could be wasting time and resources. TAM is your entire possible market, while SAM hones in on the part of that market that can realistically be converted into customers.

When you’re thinking about TAM and SAM, you’re not just identifying people who need your product but also those willing and able to pay for it. For example, say you’ve identified a market audience of 20,000 companies using Account-Based Marketing (ABM). Not all 20,000 will be able to purchase your product if it’s a high-ticket item.

Example: Market Audience of 20,000 Companies

Let’s break it down. Below is a table that looks at those 20,000 companies and their potential spending on a technology solution. The idea here is to segment these companies based on their revenue and estimated spending power:

Revenue Range# of CompaniesAverage Revenue Per CompanyEstimated Spending Potential (% of Revenue)Total Spending Potential
$100M+500$250M1% ($2.5M)$1.25B
$50M – $100M1,500$75M1.5% ($1.125M)$1.687B
$10M – $50M5,000$30M2% ($600K)$3.0B
$1M – $10M8,000$5M2.5% ($125K)$1.0B
Less than $1M5,000$500K5% ($25K)$125M
Total20,000$7.062B
Example Breakdown of 20,000 Companies for any Business Space

Interpreting the Table:

  1. $100M+ Companies: Out of the 20,000, there are about 500 companies with over $100M in revenue. These companies can afford to spend 1% of their revenue on a new technology solution, leading to a spending potential of $1.25 billion.
  2. Mid-Range Companies ($50M – $100M): You’ve got around 1,500 companies in this range, and they’re likely to spend around 1.5% of their revenue on a tech solution—about $1.125 million each, with a total market potential of $1.687 billion.
  3. Smaller Companies ($1M – $10M): These are your more budget-conscious customers. While they represent the largest group by volume (8,000 companies), their spending potential is smaller, at around $125,000 per company.
  4. Companies Less Than $1M: Even though these companies might not have much revenue to spare, they represent a market potential of $125 million if you have a lower-cost solution.

Why This Matters:

You could have 20,000 companies on your radar, but as this breakdown shows, not all of them will have the capacity to buy. Only a tiny percentage can justify spending big dollars on a solution. That’s why market sizing is critical; it prevents you from wasting time on leads that won’t convert and helps you focus your efforts on the companies that will.

If you’re bringing a high-cost product to market, focus on companies in the $100M+ or $50M+ range with more financial flexibility (if they even exist in your marketplace). On the other hand, if you’re offering a more cost-effective solution, you may want to target companies with $1M—$10M in revenue, as they are more likely to need a lower-cost product but still have a reasonable budget.

Market sizing, combined with a strong ABM strategy, ensures that you’re not just spraying and praying—you’re zeroing in on the companies that best fit your product and have the financial capacity to buy.

Don’t Miss the Boat – My Friend

Let’s be honest—if you’re not breaking down your marketplace and understanding your potential customers’ top-line revenues and other buying attributes, you’re setting yourself up for a rude awakening. Selling a multi-million-dollar product sounds great, but if your market pool is hundreds of customers, you could be missing the boat in a big way.

Here’s the hard truth: you will struggle if your product or service is priced at the top of the market and your addressable audience is too small. You’ll hit a ceiling fast, and breaking through will be tough. Companies facing this dilemma must adapt by going down-market with a more affordable, scalable solution that appeals to a broader range of buyers. You can’t just push a high-ticket item on companies that can’t afford it—you need a solution that fits their budget and capacity.

You need to take an Account-Based Marketing (ABM) approach to nail this down. Start by identifying your top prospects and understand exactly what revenue they’re pulling in. From there, you can determine how much income they will spend on your solution. But here’s where it gets real: once you’ve identified these companies, you must backfill your market with accurate data. This is where you need thousands of companies and records—not just hundreds—to make your outbound appointment setting and digital media campaigns work effectively.

Why do you need so much data? Without a significant number of records, your marketing efforts, like digital ads or email campaigns, won’t gain enough traction. It would help if you had thousands of records for digital media distribution to fuel your ad campaigns properly. Without this scale, your ads won’t reach the right people often enough, and your appointment-setting efforts will run dry.

Why Companies Get Stuck in This Situation

Most companies end up in this situation because they haven’t taken the time to understand their market size and customer capacity. They push ahead with a product or service without thoroughly analyzing how many companies can afford it. This often happens because the company is focused on the high-end market, seeing dollar signs but missing the bigger picture. They don’t realize that even if their product is fantastic, the buyer pool is too small to support sustainable growth.

Companies that face this dilemma don’t take the time to break down their market, analyze top-line revenues, and apply a suitable model to identify how many viable customers there really are. Worse, they don’t pivot quickly enough. They miss the opportunity to introduce a lower-priced offering that could capture a more significant market segment.

If you’re trying to sell a multi-million-dollar product to a limited number of potential customers, your growth will hit a wall sooner or later. To avoid that fate, you need a structured, data-driven approach—an ABM model that helps you fully understand your market and its spending power. Only then can you build an accurate outbound strategy that scales with your market’s true potential.

In short, you have to face the music. If your product is priced too high for most of your market, it’s time to adapt or miss out on serious growth potential. Adaptation means providing a down-market solution so you can compete and keep the business moving forward.

Cultural Differences: Direct vs. Hierarchical Communication

One of the often-overlooked challenges businesses face when entering a new market, especially in the U.S., is understanding cultural differences in communication and decision-making. In many countries, hierarchical structures dominate, meaning decisions flow from the top down, and direct communication can be seen as aggressive or disrespectful. However, in the U.S., direct communication is often the norm, and companies from hierarchical cultures may struggle to adapt.

This disconnect can lead to poor decision-making. For example, a company operating with rigid top-down structures may miss critical feedback from frontline employees or customers—feedback that could have alerted them to an upcoming issue in their business model or product. Failing to listen to the market because of cultural barriers is a fast track to falling behind.

Go Big or Go Home

Risk-Taking Without Measurable Steps

Now, let’s talk about risk. Everyone loves to talk about taking risks—”Go big or go home,” right? But taking measured risks is a whole different game. Too many businesses make the mistake of diving headfirst into risk without breaking down their goals into manageable pieces. You might have a great vision, but it’s easy to overextend if you’re not building your business step by step.

Taking giant leaps without a well-structured plan or the correct data behind you often results in burnout—for the company and its finances. You need to grow in stages, always ensuring each stage is measurable so you can adjust, adapt, and pivot if necessary.

The Shakeout Period and Copycats

Even if you’ve developed a groundbreaking product, you’re not immune to what happens next: the shakeout period. In any innovative space, other companies will take notice once a new technology starts gaining traction. And guess what? Some will do it better, faster, and at a lower cost. Copycats will swoop in and compete with your product, undercutting you on price or improving on what you’ve done. This is the nature of technology markets—things move fast, and if you’re not positioned correctly, you’ll find yourself quickly displaced.

The Biggest Problem: Not Doing Business the Right Way in the Region

Here’s the biggest takeaway: failing to do business in the U.S. correctly can lead to your company’s downfall. You can’t just parachute in with a great product and expect success. It’s all about understanding the market, knowing your audience, adapting to local customs, and executing a solid business plan and Go-To-Market plan. Without these pieces in place, even the best tech will flop.

How to Avoid These Pitfalls—and How Megaleads Can Help

So, how do you avoid all these issues? It starts with having the right market intelligence, data, focus reports, and a scalable go-to-market (GTM) plan. This is where Megaleads comes in. We don’t just provide data—we help you with market sizing, identifying exactly how many companies in your target market can afford your solution. We analyze the Total Addressable Market (TAM) and the Serviceable Available Market (SAM) to ensure you’re aiming at the right targets.

Megaleads can also assist in building out your full marketing and GTM plans. Whether it’s crafting your ABM strategy, filling up your lead pipeline with thousands of high-quality records, or running effective digital marketing campaigns, we have the tools and expertise to ensure you hit the ground running. Our team gathers the data and executes the marketing strategies alongside you, ensuring your company is positioned to succeed in a competitive marketplace.

Don’t fall into the trap of thinking great technology is enough. Partner with Megaleads to build a strategy that’s data-backed, scalable, and rooted in the real-world challenges of your market. With the right approach, you won’t just launch your product—you’ll build a thriving business.

Schedule time with Jim for a Market Sizing Consultation

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Fractional CMO Services
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